Cash transfer programs are often effective at increasing household consumption in their early years, but impacts become more nuanced over time as the use of transfers varies. This paper examines the medium-term effects of Egypt’s f lagship cash transfer program, Takaful, on several measures of household wellbeing using a regression discontinuity (RD) design
NEW PUBLICATION: Impact of COVID-19 on the Yemeni economy
By Dalia Elsabbagh, Sikandra Kurdi, and Manfred Wiebelt
There has been an unprecedented decline in the flow of remittances to Yemen – a vital source of money for millions – as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier model of Yemen’s economy was used to estimate the impact of lower remittances on economic sectors and employment, food systems, and household incomes. Some of the key findings from this modeling exercise are: [...]
NEW PUBLICATION: Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households
By Clemens Breisinger, Mariam Raouf, Manfred Wiebelt, Ahmed Kamaly and Mouchera Karara The COVID-19 crisis may lead to a 1.1 percent decline in Egypt’s GDP during the 4th quarter (April to June) of the 2019/20 fiscal year, compared to the same quarter in 2018/19. Without the Government of Egypt’s COVID-19 emergency response package, GDP in […]
The Impact of COVID-19 on Tunisia’s Economy, Agri-food System, and Households
Dalia Elsabbagh – Senior Research Assistant in the Egypt Strategy Support Program (ESSP) of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), based in Cairo.
The COVID-19 pandemic quickly evolved from a health crisis to a large-scale global economic crisis. Like most of the world’s countries, Tunisia is facing a new unfamiliar challenge [...]




